Investor profile
Ten questions that separate two things people often mix up: risk capacity, how much loss your situation can absorb, and risk tolerance, how much loss you can live with. The result is a description to think with, not a verdict.
What large falls have looked like
A few well-documented falls of broad markets, as published by the sources linked. They are history, not a forecast: the next fall can be smaller, larger, shorter or longer.
US shares (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
September 1929 to July 1932
89% below its peak.
Back to the 1929 level only in November 1954.
Source: Federal Reserve History, “Stock Market Crash of 1929”Japanese shares (Nikkei 225)
Peak of December 1989
The index did not close above its 1989 record again for about 34 years.
New record close on 22 February 2024.
Source: Nippon.com, Japan Data, February 2024US shares (S&P 500)
October 2007 to March 2009
57% from peak to trough.
Source: Federal Reserve History, “The Great Recession”US investment-grade bonds (Bloomberg US Aggregate index)
Calendar year 2022
13.1% (to 28 December), its worst year since the index began in 1976.
Source: Yahoo Finance, Morning Brief, December 2022
Questions to think about
- What is this money for, and on what date would you actually need it?
- If the value halved the year before you needed it, what would you do instead?
- Where would cash for an emergency come from, without selling investments?
- Do you know what you own, what it costs each year and how easily you can sell it?
- How did you react the last time your savings or investments lost value?
- Would you be comfortable explaining your plan to someone you trust, and sticking to it for ten years?
The scores are a simple count of the answers, shown to make the description easier to read; they are not a measure used by any regulator or firm. For information and education only, not investment advice.