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USA TODAY Co., Inc.: cash-flow calculator

A discounted cash flow model turns assumptions about future free cash flow into a single amount today. Here the assumptions are yours: the page shows what they add up to, and, the other way round, what yearly growth a share price takes for granted.

Free cash flow
$62.9M
FY 2025
5-year average
$50.7M
FY 2021–2025
Net debt
$864M
FY 2025
Diluted shares
146.0M
FY 2025

Read the result with care

  • Free cash flow was zero or negative in 1 of the last 5 years, so the latest year may not be a fair starting point.

Your assumptions

money in USD
Starting free cash flow

Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure, from the annual reports.

%
%

Growth usually slows as a company gets bigger.

%

For ever, so it is usually kept at or below long-run growth of the economy, often 0–3%.

%

The yearly return you require: a risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. Higher means later cash counts for less.

M USD

From the FY 2025 balance sheet. Negative means more cash than debt.

M

Weighted average, diluted, FY 2025.

USD

EdgeScore has no licensed price feed for US shares yet. Type the current share price yourself.

Present value per share, with your assumptions

1.45 USD

Starting from 62.9M USD of free cash flow, growing 5.0% a year for five years, 3.0% for the next five and 2.0% after that, all discounted at 9.0%.

Years 1–10, discounted
502.4M
After year 10, discounted
572.9M
Minus net debt
-864.0M
For shareholders
211.2M
Divided by shares
146.0M

What the price implies

Enter a share price to see the growth it implies.

  • Your assumption, years 1–55.0%
  • Free cash flow, FY 2020–202524.8%
  • Revenue, FY 2020–2025-7.5%
  • Revenue, FY 2022–2025-7.9%
Past growth is the compound yearly change between the fiscal years shown, from the annual reports. The past does not set the future; the comparison only shows how the price's assumption sits against what the company has done.

Sensitivity: value per share

Rows: terminal growth. Columns: discount rate. Other assumptions as entered, values in USD.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1.0%3.331.950.920.13-0.51
1.5%3.852.301.170.30-0.38
2.0%4.482.711.450.50-0.23
2.5%5.253.191.770.73-0.07
3.0%6.213.772.150.980.11

“—”: terminal growth at or above the discount rate has no finite answer.

Year by year
YearGrowthFree cash flowDiscount factorDiscounted
15.0%66.0M0.91760.6M
25.0%69.4M0.84258.4M
35.0%72.8M0.77256.2M
45.0%76.5M0.70854.2M
55.0%80.3M0.65052.2M
63.0%82.7M0.59649.3M
73.0%85.2M0.54746.6M
83.0%87.7M0.50244.0M
93.0%90.4M0.46041.6M
103.0%93.1M0.42239.3M
After 102.0%1.36B0.422572.9M

Terminal value = free cash flow in year 10 × (1 + terminal growth) ÷ (discount rate − terminal growth). Amounts in millions of USD.

Where the starting figures come from

Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Operating cash flow 2016: $94.8MFree cash flow 2016: $84.2M2016Operating cash flow 2017: $111MFree cash flow 2017: $99.4M2017Operating cash flow 2018: $110MFree cash flow 2018: $97.9M2018Operating cash flow 2019: $25.5MFree cash flow 2019: $11.6M2019Operating cash flow 2020: $57.8MFree cash flow 2020: $20.8M2020Operating cash flow 2021: $127MFree cash flow 2021: $87.9M2021Operating cash flow 2022: $40.8MFree cash flow 2022: -$4.6M2022Operating cash flow 2023: $94.6MFree cash flow 2023: $56.5M2023Operating cash flow 2024: $100MFree cash flow 2024: $50.8M2024Operating cash flow 2025: $114MFree cash flow 2025: $62.9M2025
Operating cash flowFree cash flow
FYRevenueOp. cash flowCapexFree cash flow
2025$2.3B$114M$51.5M$62.9M
2024$2.5B$100M$49.5M$50.8M
2023$2.7B$94.6M$38.1M$56.5M
2022$2.9B$40.8M$45.4M-$4.6M
2021$3.2B$127M$39.6M$87.9M
2020$3.4B$57.8M$37.0M$20.8M
2019$1.9B$25.5M$14.0M$11.6M
2018$1.5B$110M$11.6M$97.9M
2017$1.3B$111M$11.1M$99.4M
2016$1.3B$94.8M$10.6M$84.2M

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure. Source: SEC EDGAR, annual reports.

How it works: free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) grows at your stage 1 rate for years 1–5 and your stage 2 rate for years 6–10; after that, a terminal value assumes your terminal growth for ever. Each year is discounted at your rate, net debt (financial debt minus cash, latest balance sheet) is subtracted and the total is divided by diluted shares. The reverse calculation finds, by bisection, the stage 1 growth at which this equals the share price. Operating cash flow is after interest, so subtracting net debt as well is a simplification you can switch off.

The output is arithmetic on your inputs. It is not an EdgeScore estimate of what the shares are worth and not a price target. Figures: SEC EDGAR, annual reports, with the fiscal year shown next to each one.

For information and education only, not investment advice. Data may contain errors.