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Snowflake Inc.: cash-flow calculator

A discounted cash flow model turns assumptions about future free cash flow into a single amount today. Here the assumptions are yours: the page shows what they add up to, and, the other way round, what yearly growth a share price takes for granted.

Free cash flow
$1.1B
FY 2026
5-year average
$692M
FY 2022–2026
Net debt
-$2.8B
FY 2026
Diluted shares
337.5M
FY 2026

Read the result with care

  • Free cash flow swings widely from year to year. An average of several years is a steadier base than the latest year.

Your assumptions

money in USD
Starting free cash flow

Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure, from the annual reports.

%
%

Growth usually slows as a company gets bigger.

%

For ever, so it is usually kept at or below long-run growth of the economy, often 0–3%.

%

The yearly return you require: a risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. Higher means later cash counts for less.

M USD

From the FY 2026 balance sheet. Negative means more cash than debt.

M

Weighted average, diluted, FY 2026.

USD

EdgeScore has no licensed price feed for US shares yet. Type the current share price yourself.

Present value per share, with your assumptions

65.12 USD

Starting from 1.12B USD of free cash flow, growing 5.0% a year for five years, 3.0% for the next five and 2.0% after that, all discounted at 9.0%.

Years 1–10, discounted
8.95B
After year 10, discounted
10.20B
Minus net debt
2.83B
For shareholders
21.98B
Divided by shares
337.5M

What the price implies

Enter a share price to see the growth it implies.

  • Your assumption, years 1–55.0%
  • Free cash flow, FY 2023–202629.1%
  • Revenue, FY 2021–202651.2%
  • Revenue, FY 2023–202631.4%
Past growth is the compound yearly change between the fiscal years shown, from the annual reports. The past does not set the future; the comparison only shows how the price's assumption sits against what the company has done.

Sensitivity: value per share

Rows: terminal growth. Columns: discount rate. Other assumptions as entered, values in USD.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1.0%79.5969.0061.0854.9450.04
1.5%83.6471.7062.9756.3051.05
2.0%88.4974.8565.1257.8352.18
2.5%94.4378.5867.6159.5753.43
3.0%101.8583.0470.5161.5554.84

“—”: terminal growth at or above the discount rate has no finite answer.

Year by year
YearGrowthFree cash flowDiscount factorDiscounted
15.0%1.18B0.9171.08B
25.0%1.24B0.8421.04B
35.0%1.30B0.7721.00B
45.0%1.36B0.708964.7M
55.0%1.43B0.650929.3M
63.0%1.47B0.596878.1M
73.0%1.52B0.547829.8M
83.0%1.56B0.502784.1M
93.0%1.61B0.460741.0M
103.0%1.66B0.422700.2M
After 102.0%24.15B0.42210.20B

Terminal value = free cash flow in year 10 × (1 + terminal growth) ÷ (discount rate − terminal growth). Amounts in millions of USD.

Where the starting figures come from

Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Operating cash flow 2020: -$177MFree cash flow 2020: -$195M2020Operating cash flow 2021: -$45.4MFree cash flow 2021: -$80.5M2021Operating cash flow 2022: $110MFree cash flow 2022: $94.0M2022Operating cash flow 2023: $546MFree cash flow 2023: $521M2023Operating cash flow 2024: $848MFree cash flow 2024: $813M2024Operating cash flow 2025: $960MFree cash flow 2025: $913M2025Operating cash flow 2026: $1.2BFree cash flow 2026: $1.1B2026
Operating cash flowFree cash flow
FYRevenueOp. cash flowCapexFree cash flow
2026$4.7B$1.2B$102M$1.1B
2025$3.6B$960M$46.3M$913M
2024$2.8B$848M$35.1M$813M
2023$2.1B$546M$25.1M$521M
2022$1.2B$110M$16.2M$94.0M
2021$592M-$45.4M$35.0M-$80.5M
2020$265M-$177M$18.6M-$195M

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure. Source: SEC EDGAR, annual reports.

How it works: free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) grows at your stage 1 rate for years 1–5 and your stage 2 rate for years 6–10; after that, a terminal value assumes your terminal growth for ever. Each year is discounted at your rate, net debt (financial debt minus cash, latest balance sheet) is subtracted and the total is divided by diluted shares. The reverse calculation finds, by bisection, the stage 1 growth at which this equals the share price. Operating cash flow is after interest, so subtracting net debt as well is a simplification you can switch off.

The output is arithmetic on your inputs. It is not an EdgeScore estimate of what the shares are worth and not a price target. Figures: SEC EDGAR, annual reports, with the fiscal year shown next to each one.

For information and education only, not investment advice. Data may contain errors.