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LHX · NYSE · Financial statements

L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. /DE/: cash-flow calculator

A discounted cash flow model turns assumptions about future free cash flow into a single amount today. Here the assumptions are yours: the page shows what they add up to, and, the other way round, what yearly growth a share price takes for granted.

Free cash flow
$2.2B
FY 2024
5-year average
$2.1B
FY 2020–2024
Net debt
$11.6B
FY 2024
Diluted shares
190.7M
FY 2024

Your assumptions

money in USD
Starting free cash flow

Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure, from the annual reports.

%
%

Growth usually slows as a company gets bigger.

%

For ever, so it is usually kept at or below long-run growth of the economy, often 0–3%.

%

The yearly return you require: a risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. Higher means later cash counts for less.

M USD

From the FY 2024 balance sheet. Negative means more cash than debt.

M

Weighted average, diluted, FY 2024.

USD

EdgeScore has no licensed price feed for US shares yet. Type the current share price yourself.

Present value per share, with your assumptions

131.87 USD

Starting from 2.15B USD of free cash flow, growing 5.0% a year for five years, 3.0% for the next five and 2.0% after that, all discounted at 9.0%.

Years 1–10, discounted
17.18B
After year 10, discounted
19.59B
Minus net debt
-11.62B
For shareholders
25.15B
Divided by shares
190.7M

What the price implies

Enter a share price to see the growth it implies.

  • Your assumption, years 1–55.0%
  • Free cash flow, FY 2021–2024-2.8%
  • Revenue, FY 2019–202410.7%
  • Revenue, FY 2021–20246.2%
Past growth is the compound yearly change between the fiscal years shown, from the annual reports. The past does not set the future; the comparison only shows how the price's assumption sits against what the company has done.

Sensitivity: value per share

Rows: terminal growth. Columns: discount rate. Other assumptions as entered, values in USD.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1.0%181.03145.05118.1597.2880.63
1.5%194.78154.23124.55101.9084.06
2.0%211.28164.93131.87107.1187.88
2.5%231.46177.58140.31113.0092.14
3.0%256.67192.76150.16119.7496.94

“—”: terminal growth at or above the discount rate has no finite answer.

Year by year
YearGrowthFree cash flowDiscount factorDiscounted
15.0%2.26B0.9172.07B
25.0%2.37B0.8422.00B
35.0%2.49B0.7721.92B
45.0%2.61B0.7081.85B
55.0%2.75B0.6501.78B
63.0%2.83B0.5961.69B
73.0%2.91B0.5471.59B
83.0%3.00B0.5021.51B
93.0%3.09B0.4601.42B
103.0%3.18B0.4221.34B
After 102.0%46.37B0.42219.59B

Terminal value = free cash flow in year 10 × (1 + terminal growth) ÷ (discount rate − terminal growth). Amounts in millions of USD.

Where the starting figures come from

Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Operating cash flow 2015: $854MFree cash flow 2015: $706M2015Operating cash flow 2016: $924MFree cash flow 2016: $772M2016Operating cash flow 2017: $569MFree cash flow 2017: $450M2017Operating cash flow 2018: $751MFree cash flow 2018: $615M20182019Operating cash flow 2020: $2.8BFree cash flow 2020: $2.4B2020Operating cash flow 2021: $2.7BFree cash flow 2021: $2.3B2021Operating cash flow 2022: $2.2BFree cash flow 2022: $1.9B2022Operating cash flow 2023: $2.1BFree cash flow 2023: $1.6B2023Operating cash flow 2024: $2.6BFree cash flow 2024: $2.2B2024
Operating cash flowFree cash flow
FYRevenueOp. cash flowCapexFree cash flow
2024$21.3B$2.6B$408M$2.2B
2023$19.4B$2.1B$449M$1.6B
2022$17.1B$2.2B$252M$1.9B
2021$17.8B$2.7B$342M$2.3B
2020$18.2B$2.8B$368M$2.4B
2019$12.9B———
2018$6.2B$751M$136M$615M
2017$5.9B$569M$119M$450M
2016$6.0B$924M$152M$772M
2015$3.9B$854M$148M$706M

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure. Source: SEC EDGAR, annual reports.

How it works: free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) grows at your stage 1 rate for years 1–5 and your stage 2 rate for years 6–10; after that, a terminal value assumes your terminal growth for ever. Each year is discounted at your rate, net debt (financial debt minus cash, latest balance sheet) is subtracted and the total is divided by diluted shares. The reverse calculation finds, by bisection, the stage 1 growth at which this equals the share price. Operating cash flow is after interest, so subtracting net debt as well is a simplification you can switch off.

The output is arithmetic on your inputs. It is not an EdgeScore estimate of what the shares are worth and not a price target. Figures: SEC EDGAR, annual reports, with the fiscal year shown next to each one.

For information and education only, not investment advice. Data may contain errors.