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Idaho Copper Corp: cash-flow calculator

A discounted cash flow model turns assumptions about future free cash flow into a single amount today. Here the assumptions are yours: the page shows what they add up to, and, the other way round, what yearly growth a share price takes for granted.

Free cash flow
-$862K
FY 2019
5-year average
-$389K
FY 2015–2019
Net debt
-$100.0K
FY 2019

A cash-flow model does not fit these figures well

  • Free cash flow was negative in 2019. Growing a negative number gives a negative value, so the latest year is no base for this model.

You can still enter your own starting free cash flow below, for example what you expect once heavy investment ends. That is your assumption, not a figure from the reports.

Your assumptions

money in USD
Starting free cash flow
M USD

A starting free cash flow of zero or less gives no meaningful result.

%
%

Growth usually slows as a company gets bigger.

%

For ever, so it is usually kept at or below long-run growth of the economy, often 0–3%.

%

The yearly return you require: a risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. Higher means later cash counts for less.

M USD

From the FY 2019 balance sheet. Negative means more cash than debt.

M

Not on file: type the number of shares.

USD

EdgeScore has no licensed price feed for US shares yet. Type the current share price yourself.

Growing a starting free cash flow of zero or less only gives zero or less, so the model has no meaningful answer here. Pick a positive base above, or type your own starting figure under “My own”.

What the price implies

Enter a share price to see the growth it implies.

  • Your assumption, years 1–55.0%
  • Revenue, FY 2014–2019-18.5%
  • Revenue, FY 2016–2019-47.8%
Past growth is the compound yearly change between the fiscal years shown, from the annual reports. The past does not set the future; the comparison only shows how the price's assumption sits against what the company has done.

Where the starting figures come from

Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Operating cash flow 2010: $3.4MFree cash flow 2010: $3.1M2010Operating cash flow 2011: -$65.9KFree cash flow 2011: -$1.6M2011Operating cash flow 2012: -$1.2MFree cash flow 2012: -$1.4M2012Operating cash flow 2013: -$1.2MFree cash flow 2013: -$1.3M2013Operating cash flow 2014: -$89.3KFree cash flow 2014: -$92.0K2014Operating cash flow 2015: -$177KFree cash flow 2015: -$344K2015Operating cash flow 2016: $715KFree cash flow 2016: $661K2016Operating cash flow 2017: -$145KFree cash flow 2017: -$505K2017Operating cash flow 2018: -$887KFree cash flow 2018: -$895K2018Operating cash flow 2019: -$772KFree cash flow 2019: -$862K2019
Operating cash flowFree cash flow
FYRevenueOp. cash flowCapexFree cash flow
2019$609K-$772K$89.5K-$862K
2018$1.7M-$887K$7.5K-$895K
2017$3.3M-$145K$359K-$505K
2016$4.3M$715K$54.3K$661K
2015$3.3M-$177K$167K-$344K
2014$1.7M-$89.3K$2.7K-$92.0K
2013$1.4M-$1.2M$33.5K-$1.3M
2012$1.9M-$1.2M$208K-$1.4M
2011$4.4M-$65.9K$1.5M-$1.6M
2010$7.5M$3.4M$360K$3.1M

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure. Source: SEC EDGAR, annual reports.

How it works: free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) grows at your stage 1 rate for years 1–5 and your stage 2 rate for years 6–10; after that, a terminal value assumes your terminal growth for ever. Each year is discounted at your rate, net debt (financial debt minus cash, latest balance sheet) is subtracted and the total is divided by diluted shares. The reverse calculation finds, by bisection, the stage 1 growth at which this equals the share price. Operating cash flow is after interest, so subtracting net debt as well is a simplification you can switch off.

The output is arithmetic on your inputs. It is not an EdgeScore estimate of what the shares are worth and not a price target. Figures: SEC EDGAR, annual reports, with the fiscal year shown next to each one.

For information and education only, not investment advice. Data may contain errors.