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COLL · Nasdaq · Financial statements

COLLEGIUM PHARMACEUTICAL, INC: cash-flow calculator

A discounted cash flow model turns assumptions about future free cash flow into a single amount today. Here the assumptions are yours: the page shows what they add up to, and, the other way round, what yearly growth a share price takes for granted.

Free cash flow
$328M
FY 2025
5-year average
$206M
FY 2021–2025
Net debt
-$231M
FY 2025
Diluted shares
39.7M
FY 2025

Your assumptions

money in USD
Starting free cash flow

Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure, from the annual reports.

%
%

Growth usually slows as a company gets bigger.

%

For ever, so it is usually kept at or below long-run growth of the economy, often 0–3%.

%

The yearly return you require: a risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. Higher means later cash counts for less.

M USD

From the FY 2025 balance sheet. Negative means more cash than debt.

M

Weighted average, diluted, FY 2025.

USD

EdgeScore has no licensed price feed for US shares yet. Type the current share price yourself.

Present value per share, with your assumptions

146.86 USD

Starting from 327.6M USD of free cash flow, growing 5.0% a year for five years, 3.0% for the next five and 2.0% after that, all discounted at 9.0%.

Years 1–10, discounted
2.62B
After year 10, discounted
2.98B
Minus net debt
231.3M
For shareholders
5.83B
Divided by shares
39.7M

What the price implies

Enter a share price to see the growth it implies.

  • Your assumption, years 1–55.0%
  • Free cash flow, FY 2020–202530.0%
  • Free cash flow, FY 2022–202538.8%
  • Revenue, FY 2020–202520.3%
  • Revenue, FY 2022–202518.9%
Past growth is the compound yearly change between the fiscal years shown, from the annual reports. The past does not set the future; the comparison only shows how the price's assumption sits against what the company has done.

Sensitivity: value per share

Rows: terminal growth. Columns: discount rate. Other assumptions as entered, values in USD.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1.0%182.83156.51136.83121.56109.38
1.5%192.89163.22141.51124.95111.90
2.0%204.96171.05146.86128.75114.69
2.5%219.72180.30153.04133.07117.81
3.0%238.16191.41160.25138.00121.32

“—”: terminal growth at or above the discount rate has no finite answer.

Year by year
YearGrowthFree cash flowDiscount factorDiscounted
15.0%344.0M0.917315.6M
25.0%361.2M0.842304.0M
35.0%379.2M0.772292.8M
45.0%398.2M0.708282.1M
55.0%418.1M0.650271.7M
63.0%430.6M0.596256.8M
73.0%443.5M0.547242.6M
83.0%456.9M0.502229.3M
93.0%470.6M0.460216.7M
103.0%484.7M0.422204.7M
After 102.0%7.06B0.4222.98B

Terminal value = free cash flow in year 10 × (1 + terminal growth) ÷ (discount rate − terminal growth). Amounts in millions of USD.

Where the starting figures come from

Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Operating cash flow 2016: -$75.1MFree cash flow 2016: -$75.5M2016Operating cash flow 2017: -$67.0MFree cash flow 2017: -$68.0M2017Operating cash flow 2018: $169MFree cash flow 2018: $164M2018Operating cash flow 2019: $27.8MFree cash flow 2019: $21.3M2019Operating cash flow 2020: $93.9MFree cash flow 2020: $88.4M2020Operating cash flow 2021: $104MFree cash flow 2021: $102M2021Operating cash flow 2022: $124MFree cash flow 2022: $123M2022Operating cash flow 2023: $275MFree cash flow 2023: $274M2023Operating cash flow 2024: $205MFree cash flow 2024: $203M2024Operating cash flow 2025: $329MFree cash flow 2025: $328M2025
Operating cash flowFree cash flow
FYRevenueOp. cash flowCapexFree cash flow
2025$781M$329M$1.7M$328M
2024$631M$205M$1.7M$203M
2023$567M$275M$461K$274M
2022$464M$124M$1.6M$123M
2021$277M$104M$1.9M$102M
2020$310M$93.9M$5.5M$88.4M
2019$297M$27.8M$6.4M$21.3M
2018$280M$169M$5.5M$164M
2017$28.5M-$67.0M$990K-$68.0M
2016$1.7M-$75.1M$477K-$75.5M

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure. Source: SEC EDGAR, annual reports.

How it works: free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) grows at your stage 1 rate for years 1–5 and your stage 2 rate for years 6–10; after that, a terminal value assumes your terminal growth for ever. Each year is discounted at your rate, net debt (financial debt minus cash, latest balance sheet) is subtracted and the total is divided by diluted shares. The reverse calculation finds, by bisection, the stage 1 growth at which this equals the share price. Operating cash flow is after interest, so subtracting net debt as well is a simplification you can switch off.

The output is arithmetic on your inputs. It is not an EdgeScore estimate of what the shares are worth and not a price target. Figures: SEC EDGAR, annual reports, with the fiscal year shown next to each one.

For information and education only, not investment advice. Data may contain errors.